Friday, March 03, 2006

Oscar picks

Last year at this time, I had someone to debate my Oscar picks with. That's no longer the case (which is a longer story in itself), so this year my choices get posted to the blogsphere.

Best Actor: Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote"

Best Actress: Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line"

Best Supporting Actor: Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man"

This is a close one, with George Clooney possibly getting the nod for "Syriana." The reasoning is that Clooney isn't likely to win in the other two categories he's nominated for, Best Director and Best Original Screenplay for "Good Night, and Good Luck." Still, Giamatti won the Screen Actors Guild award for his performance (an award voted on by his fellow actors, just as the Oscars are) and the win will in a sense be a "makeup" for Giamatti's non-nomination last year for "Sideways."

Best Supporting Actress: Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener"

Best Director: Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain"

Best Picture: "Brokeback Mountain"

"Crash" could prove the spoiler, but I still think "Brokeback Mountain" will come away with the win.


Anonymous Amanda said...

I think Catherine Keener - or Michelle Williams, but she's a longer shot - could upset Rachel Weisz. Catherine Keener as more of a reward for a career of excellent work, and Michelle Williams partially because Alma is so different than what she'd been known for, Dawson's Creek.

8:24 PM  
Blogger Amy said...

You make a good point Amanda. I think of the three acting nominations for "Brokeback Mountain," Michelle has the best chance of winning. Still, I think her nomination is her reward. She's only 25 and the thinking will go that she will have other chances to win.

The supporting actress race is the one category that through the years seems to have a history of upsets. Think Marisa Tomei for "My Cousin Vinny," Mercedes Ruehl for "The Fisher King" and Juliette Binoche for "The English Patient" (the year everyone, including Binoche, assumed Lauren Bacall would win for "The Mirror Has Two Faces.")

Catherine Keener is a wonderful actress and someone whose work I have enjoyed for a long time. She's also popular with her fellow actors, which definitely helps her chances. But even though I would be delighted to see her win, I think it's Rachel's year.

8:46 PM  

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